Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.151735 0.180063 0.211850 0.250107 0.294852 0.345476 0.407045
2025-06-29 0.107136 0.142490 0.186522 0.245183 0.321052 0.415619 0.542168
2025-07-06 0.082289 0.119350 0.169295 0.241085 0.341123 0.475001 0.667060
2025-07-13 0.070060 0.109097 0.165197 0.250958 0.377848 0.557568 0.830017
2025-07-20 0.063088 0.104452 0.167272 0.268492 0.426070 0.660190 1.031924
2025-07-27 0.056262 0.098494 0.165927 0.279856 0.465497 0.753334 1.229540
2025-08-03 0.048517 0.089532 0.158180 0.279433 0.485588 0.818134 1.389607
2025-08-10 0.040609 0.078839 0.145784 0.269157 0.487564 0.853315 1.504758
2025-08-17 0.033669 0.068642 0.132600 0.255351 0.481181 0.873024 1.594949
2025-08-24 0.029912 0.063759 0.128147 0.256344 0.500505 0.937856 1.768354
2025-08-31 0.025677 0.057211 0.119590 0.248371 0.502144 0.971116 1.888356
2025-09-07 0.023345 0.054167 0.117350 0.252163 0.526152 1.046941 2.092974
2025-09-14 0.020710 0.050233 0.113154 0.252303 0.544716 1.117670 2.301882
2025-09-21 0.018035 0.045765 0.107241 0.248209 0.554581 1.173463 2.489729
2025-09-28 0.015760 0.041790 0.101754 0.244159 0.563857 1.228847 2.682488
2025-10-05 0.014758 0.040710 0.102576 0.254163 0.604422 1.352110 3.026570
2025-10-12 0.014323 0.040976 0.106553 0.271910 0.664193 1.521634 3.484674
2025-10-19 0.013533 0.040171 0.107826 0.283411 0.711102 1.668275 3.908279
2025-10-26 0.012196 0.037627 0.104400 0.282982 0.730075 1.755461 4.210188
2025-11-02 0.010558 0.033915 0.097404 0.272582 0.723783 1.785050 4.385730
2025-11-09 0.008992 0.030092 0.089490 0.258610 0.706806 1.788001 4.500073
2025-11-16 0.008207 0.028478 0.087333 0.259615 0.727763 1.882363 4.838215
2025-11-23 0.007191 0.025930 0.082141 0.251545 0.724121 1.916942 5.036324